Iran’s post-war strategy blends escalatory military threats, conditional nuclear diplomacy, and rapid space expansion with Russian assistance, signaling resilience but heightening risks of conflict across multiple domains.

China’s unveiling of a jet-powered VTOL drone and nuclear-powered undersea drone highlights its push to expand naval airpower and undersea deterrence, directly challenging U.S. dominance in the Indo-Pacific.

ISIS remains a resilient global threat, sustaining sleeper cells in Syria, recruitment pipelines in Asia, insurgencies in Africa, and lone-actor plots in the West despite persistent counterterrorism pressure.

Israel is intensifying influence operations toward the Iranian public while Tehran centralizes wartime decision-making, raising the risk that renewed Israel–Iran hostilities will rapidly expand into a multi-front regional conflict.

Putin’s demand for full control of Donetsk ahead of the Trump-Putin summit underscores Moscow’s intent to lock in battlefield gains, while exclusion of Ukraine and the EU from talks heightens risks of a settlement favorable to Russia but unlikely to deliver lasting peace.

Pakistani Army Chief Asim Munir’s unprecedented nuclear threats from U.S. soil amplify South Asian tensions, leveraging nuclear brinkmanship amid shifting U.S.-India-Pakistan dynamics.