Strategic Intelligence
Explore strategic intelligence insights and expert analysis on global events, geopolitical shifts, and emerging risks. Our concise summaries help security professionals, analysts, and decision makers understand complex developments and anticipate future trends.
Russia's Military Reinforcement Signals Escalation as Ukrainian Forces Push Deeper into Russian Territory
Russia’s troop expansion is a strategic response to Ukrainian advances but faces significant challenges due to low morale, economic strain, and logistical hurdles.
Rising Maritime Tensions: Philippines, Australia, and the U.S. Align to Counter China in the South China Sea
As tensions between the Philippines, Australia, and China escalate in the South China Sea, regional powers are aligning to counter China's assertive territorial claims, raising concerns over potential military conflict and global trade security.
Threat Assessment: Anniversary of the October 7, 2023, Attack on Israel
Law enforcement agencies are urged to increase security around Jewish communities and urban centers on October 7, 2024, the anniversary of the Hamas attack on Israel, following the foiled ISIS-inspired plot to target Jewish centers in New York City.
Russian and Chinese Influence Surge in Africa Amid Sahel Instability and Western Withdrawal
The growing influence of Russia and China in the Sahel, driven by military and economic support, is reshaping the region's geopolitical landscape while complicating efforts to achieve long-term stability.
Iran's Retaliation Likely Imminent but Strategic Following Haniyeh Assassination
Iran’s retaliation for Haniyeh’s assassination will likely involve coordinated strikes through proxies and diplomatic strategies to minimize direct conflict while maximizing regional impact.
Houthi Missile Strike on Central Israel
A missile fired by Yemen’s Houthi group reached central Israel for the first time, prompting Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to vow retaliation, marking a significant escalation in the regional conflict.
What Is Strategic Intelligence?
Strategic intelligence is the analysis of information to support long-term understanding and decision-making. It focuses on identifying trends, patterns, and emerging developments that shape future risk environments rather than reacting to isolated events.
Unlike tactical or operational intelligence, strategic intelligence provides broader context, helping decision-makers assess how evolving conditions may influence security, policy, or organizational outcomes over time.
At Semper Incolumem, strategic intelligence is grounded in disciplined open-source analysis, with an emphasis on verification, relevance, and context. As the complexity of publicly available information grows, understanding the challenges facing modern OSINT helps clarify the limitations and demands of disciplined open-source analysis.
Strategic Intelligence vs. Intel Reports
Semper Incolumem publishes two distinct types of intelligence content, each serving a different purpose.
Strategic Intelligence consists of long-form analysis focused on trends and emerging patterns. These pieces examine broader movements over time and are intended to support long-term understanding. Strategic Intelligence summaries are publicly available on Semper Incolumem.
Intel Reports, available to subscribers, focus on specific or time-sensitive developments such as verified claims, arrests, or calls for action. These reports surface critical information quickly and accurately as events unfold.
Example:
Strategic Intelligence
ISIS Activity in the Sahel Increasing as Northwest African Countries Turn Away from Western Assistance
Intel Report
ISIS Claims Responsibility for Attack That Killed 50 in the Sahel
Subscribers receive access to Intel Reports alongside broader platform capabilities.
Why Strategic Intelligence Matters
Strategic intelligence:
Anticipates Change: Helps leaders identify shifts in markets, politics, or security environments before they unfold.
Supports Better Decisions: Connects complex external signals with organizational objectives to guide long-term strategy.
Mitigates Risk: Improves readiness for threats and uncertainties by highlighting emerging vulnerabilities and trends.
Whether applied in national defense, corporate strategy, or risk analysis, strategic intelligence turns information into foresight.
How We Deliver Strategic Intelligence
Our strategic intelligence summaries are produced through the Semper Incolumem intelligence platform, which:
Monitors global open-source data in near real time
Filters noise to surface events with strategic relevance
Provides concise, objective summaries designed for rapid consumption
Each summary is intended to give readers the context needed to assess potential impact without unnecessary speculation or commentary.
Stay Informed with Strategic Intelligence
Receive strategic intelligence summaries and subscriber-only Intel Reports directly from Semper Incolumem.

