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Holiday Season Threat Assessment: Coordinated Attacks and Soft Target Vulnerabilities
The 2025–2026 holiday season presents a high threat environment driven by recent international and domestic incidents involving vehicle-ramming, VBIEDs, and lone actor violence targeting symbolic and densely populated gatherings.
No Kings Day Protest – October 18, 2025 Threat Assessment
The October 18 “No Kings Day” protest faces a high threat level due to credible risks of armed counterprotester violence, law enforcement escalation, and widespread political polarization.
Labor Day 2025 Protests – Threat Assessment
Labor Day 2025 protests face a high threat level due to their scale, political volatility, and risks posed by both law enforcement overreach and extremist counter-protesters.
Break the Siege Gaza – August 10 Threat Assessment Report
The August 10 “Break the Siege Gaza” protest faces a high threat level due to potential law enforcement confrontation, counter‑protester violence, and lone actor threats.
Rage Against The Regime - August 2nd Threat Assessment Report
The August 2 "Rage Against the Regime" protests face a high threat level due to likely police confrontation, active assailant risks, and escalating counter-protester involvement.
Lift The Ban Protest – August 9th Threat Assessment Report
The August 9 "Lift The Ban" protest in London presents a medium threat profile, with heightened risks of civil unrest, law enforcement overreach, and lone actor violence due to the politicized and high-visibility nature of the event.