Strategic Intelligence
Explore strategic intelligence insights and expert analysis on global events, geopolitical shifts, and emerging risks. Our concise summaries help security professionals, analysts, and decision makers understand complex developments and anticipate future trends.
The Resilient Force: Understanding the Houthis and Their Impact
The Houthis, originally a small revivalist group in Yemen, have evolved into a formidable political and military force. Supported by Iran, they control significant parts of Yemen and have recently escalated their operations to include attacks on international shipping in the Red Sea. Their ability to disrupt global trade routes and their impact on regional stability highlight the complexities of their influence. As they continue to navigate their alliances and conflicts, the Houthis remain a significant player in the geopolitical landscape of the Middle East.
Avian Flu Outbreak Poised to Trigger Global Public Health and Agricultural Crisis
The escalating outbreak of avian flu (H5N1) is expected to pose significant threats to global public health and agriculture. The rapid spread of this highly pathogenic virus among bird populations increases the risk of zoonotic transmission to humans, potentially leading to a new pandemic. Additionally, the outbreak threatens to devastate poultry industries worldwide, causing substantial economic losses and food security challenges.
The Future Reimagined: Navigating Post-War Recovery and the Rise of AI
As the world emerges from recent conflicts, the focus shifts to rebuilding and integrating advanced AI technologies. This transformative period promises significant economic, healthcare, and educational advancements driven by AI, but also raises concerns about privacy, employment, and ethical governance. The interplay between post-war recovery and AI will shape the future, presenting both opportunities and challenges that require careful navigation to ensure a balanced, equitable, and prosperous society.
Rising Nationalism and Protectionism Expected to Challenge Globalization and Impact Economic Growth
The rise of nationalism and protectionism in key global economies is expected to challenge the process of globalization, leading to increased trade barriers, disrupted supply chains, and slower economic growth. This trend poses significant risks to international cooperation and economic stability, with potential implications for global trade, investment, and economic development.
On the Brink: Israel and Hezbollah Edge Toward Regional War
Tensions between Israel and Hezbollah have escalated dramatically, pushing the Middle East towards the brink of a full-scale war. Despite international diplomatic efforts, the deep-rooted hostilities and strategic objectives of both sides make a sustainable peace agreement elusive. The potential for a broader regional conflict involving Iran and other regional actors looms large, with significant humanitarian and economic implications for Lebanon and Israel. As preparations for war continue, the stakes for regional stability and global security are higher than ever.
The Silent Shift: Exploring the Global Population Decline
A subtle but profound transformation is underway as countries worldwide face the potential for significant population decline. Nations like Japan, Italy, and South Korea are already experiencing the impacts of low birth rates and aging populations, leading to economic and social challenges. This demographic shift, while presenting obstacles such as labor shortages and increased healthcare demands, also offers opportunities for environmental sustainability and technological innovation. The unfolding narrative of global population decline invites a reconsideration of how societies and economies can adapt to these changes.
What Is Strategic Intelligence?
Strategic intelligence is the analysis of information to support long-term understanding and decision-making. It focuses on identifying trends, patterns, and emerging developments that shape future risk environments rather than reacting to isolated events.
Unlike tactical or operational intelligence, strategic intelligence provides broader context, helping decision-makers assess how evolving conditions may influence security, policy, or organizational outcomes over time.
At Semper Incolumem, strategic intelligence is grounded in disciplined open-source analysis, with an emphasis on verification, relevance, and context. As the complexity of publicly available information grows, understanding the challenges facing modern OSINT helps clarify the limitations and demands of disciplined open-source analysis.
Strategic Intelligence vs. Intel Reports
Semper Incolumem publishes two distinct types of intelligence content, each serving a different purpose.
Strategic Intelligence consists of long-form analysis focused on trends and emerging patterns. These pieces examine broader movements over time and are intended to support long-term understanding. Strategic Intelligence summaries are publicly available on Semper Incolumem.
Intel Reports, available to subscribers, focus on specific or time-sensitive developments such as verified claims, arrests, or calls for action. These reports surface critical information quickly and accurately as events unfold.
Example:
Strategic Intelligence
ISIS Activity in the Sahel Increasing as Northwest African Countries Turn Away from Western Assistance
Intel Report
ISIS Claims Responsibility for Attack That Killed 50 in the Sahel
Subscribers receive access to Intel Reports alongside broader platform capabilities.
Why Strategic Intelligence Matters
Strategic intelligence:
Anticipates Change: Helps leaders identify shifts in markets, politics, or security environments before they unfold.
Supports Better Decisions: Connects complex external signals with organizational objectives to guide long-term strategy.
Mitigates Risk: Improves readiness for threats and uncertainties by highlighting emerging vulnerabilities and trends.
Whether applied in national defense, corporate strategy, or risk analysis, strategic intelligence turns information into foresight.
How We Deliver Strategic Intelligence
Our strategic intelligence summaries are produced through the Semper Incolumem intelligence platform, which:
Monitors global open-source data in near real time
Filters noise to surface events with strategic relevance
Provides concise, objective summaries designed for rapid consumption
Each summary is intended to give readers the context needed to assess potential impact without unnecessary speculation or commentary.
Stay Informed with Strategic Intelligence
Receive strategic intelligence summaries and subscriber-only Intel Reports directly from Semper Incolumem.

