Strategic Intelligence

Explore strategic intelligence insights and expert analysis on global events, geopolitical shifts, and emerging risks. Our concise summaries help security professionals, analysts, and decision makers understand complex developments and anticipate future trends.

Matt Helmkamp Matt Helmkamp

West African Unity: Niger, Burkina Faso, and Mali Forge Historic Confederation

Military leaders from Niger, Burkina Faso, and Mali have signed a treaty to form a confederation aimed at strengthening political and economic ties and addressing regional security challenges in the Sahel. The agreement focuses on joint military operations against insurgencies, harmonized economic policies, and coordinated development projects. While the international community has mixed reactions, the confederation seeks to improve stability, attract foreign investment, and enhance regional cooperation. The initiative underscores the three nations’ commitment to overcoming shared challenges and fostering long-term peace and prosperity in West Africa.

Read More
Matt Helmkamp Matt Helmkamp

Myanmar’s Civil War: The Struggle for Freedom and Stability

The civil war in Myanmar, ignited by the military coup in February 2021, has escalated into a brutal conflict involving the ruling military junta, ethnic armed organizations, and resistance groups. Despite severe crackdowns, the resistance, led by the National Unity Government and People’s Defense Forces, has made significant gains, capturing key territories and conducting daring attacks. The humanitarian crisis continues to worsen, with over a million displaced and widespread human rights abuses. International responses have varied, with sanctions from the West and strategic engagement from regional powers like China, reflecting the conflict’s complex geopolitical implications.

Read More
Matt Helmkamp Matt Helmkamp

Rapid Proliferation of UAS Poses Significant Challenges to Homeland Security

The rapid proliferation and technological advancement of Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS) pose significant challenges to homeland security, including threats to critical infrastructure, public safety, and national security. Comprehensive countermeasures and enhanced security protocols are essential to mitigate these risks and protect against the evolving capabilities of UAS.

Read More
Matt Helmkamp Matt Helmkamp

Masoud Pezeshkian Inaugurated as President of Iran: A New Era of Reform and Diplomacy

Masoud Pezeshkian has been inaugurated as the new president of Iran, signaling a potential shift in the country’s political and economic landscape. Known for his moderate views, Pezeshkian aims to address economic challenges, improve international relations, and enhance social welfare. His administration will focus on economic diversification, re-engaging with the international community, regional cooperation, and addressing social grievances. Pezeshkian’s leadership will also emphasize technological advancement, environmental sustainability, education reform, healthcare improvements, and gender equality.

Read More
Matt Helmkamp Matt Helmkamp

China and Russia’s Strategic Engagement in Cuba Likely to Undermine U.S. Influence in the Western Hemisphere

The expanding strategic engagement of China and Russia in Cuba is expected to significantly undermine U.S. influence in the Western Hemisphere. This includes military cooperation, economic investments, and intelligence operations, which could enhance Cuba’s capabilities and align it more closely with U.S. adversaries, thereby challenging U.S. dominance in the region and altering the balance of power.

Read More
Matt Helmkamp Matt Helmkamp

Russian Submarine in Cuba: Implications and Strategic Intent

In June 2024, the arrival of a Russian naval group, including the nuclear-powered submarine Kazan, in Havana, Cuba, has stirred significant geopolitical tensions. This unprecedented deployment, reminiscent of Cold War-era maneuvers, showcases Russia's capability and intent to project military power near U.S. borders. The U.S. response, involving the deployment of several warships and the fast-attack submarine USS Helena to Guantanamo Bay, underscores the strategic importance of maintaining a robust presence in the Caribbean. This incident highlights the ongoing power dynamics and the fragile balance of global peace between the U.S. and Russia.

Read More

What Is Strategic Intelligence?

Strategic intelligence is the analysis of information to support long-term understanding and decision-making. It focuses on identifying trends, patterns, and emerging developments that shape future risk environments rather than reacting to isolated events.

Unlike tactical or operational intelligence, strategic intelligence provides broader context, helping decision-makers assess how evolving conditions may influence security, policy, or organizational outcomes over time.

At Semper Incolumem, strategic intelligence is grounded in disciplined open-source analysis, with an emphasis on verification, relevance, and context. As the complexity of publicly available information grows, understanding the challenges facing modern OSINT helps clarify the limitations and demands of disciplined open-source analysis.

Learn how our intelligence platform supports strategic analysis

Strategic Intelligence vs. Intel Reports

Semper Incolumem publishes two distinct types of intelligence content, each serving a different purpose.

Strategic Intelligence consists of long-form analysis focused on trends and emerging patterns. These pieces examine broader movements over time and are intended to support long-term understanding. Strategic Intelligence summaries are publicly available on Semper Incolumem.

Intel Reports, available to subscribers, focus on specific or time-sensitive developments such as verified claims, arrests, or calls for action. These reports surface critical information quickly and accurately as events unfold.

Example:

Strategic Intelligence

ISIS Activity in the Sahel Increasing as Northwest African Countries Turn Away from Western Assistance

Intel Report

ISIS Claims Responsibility for Attack That Killed 50 in the Sahel

Subscribers receive access to Intel Reports alongside broader platform capabilities.

Explore the intelligence platform

Why Strategic Intelligence Matters

Strategic intelligence:

  • Anticipates Change: Helps leaders identify shifts in markets, politics, or security environments before they unfold.

  • Supports Better Decisions: Connects complex external signals with organizational objectives to guide long-term strategy.

  • Mitigates Risk: Improves readiness for threats and uncertainties by highlighting emerging vulnerabilities and trends.

Whether applied in national defense, corporate strategy, or risk analysis, strategic intelligence turns information into foresight.

How We Deliver Strategic Intelligence

Our strategic intelligence summaries are produced through the Semper Incolumem intelligence platform, which:

  • Monitors global open-source data in near real time

  • Filters noise to surface events with strategic relevance

  • Provides concise, objective summaries designed for rapid consumption

Each summary is intended to give readers the context needed to assess potential impact without unnecessary speculation or commentary.

Stay Informed with Strategic Intelligence

Receive strategic intelligence summaries and subscriber-only Intel Reports directly from Semper Incolumem.

Subscribe for Full Intelligence Access