Despite heavy Israeli and U.S. strikes, Iran is rearming proxies, hardening its internal security, and preparing for renewed conflict, as negotiations stall and covert warfare continues across the region.

A surge in Russian hybrid and direct operations across Europe, met by robust allied countermeasures and shifting NATO posture, marks a period of heightened risk for miscalculation and wider conflict, as the prospect for peace recedes in summer 2025.

Domestic and international threat actors—including Unity of Fields and their UK partners—are escalating from digital propaganda to direct action, with U.S. law enforcement now facing imminent risks from sabotage, arson, and calls for armed insurgency.

Fringe online platforms show a sharp backlash against Trump over the Epstein files, marking a volatile shift in loyalty that could fuel disinformation and extremist rhetoric.

The Soufan Center’s mid-2025 assessment underscores a dangerously fluid global terrorism threat fueled by resurgent jihadist groups, ideological convergence, and the expanding tactical use of AI and emerging technologies.

Declassified intelligence records reveal that Obama-era officials directed and politicized the assessment of Russian interference in the 2016 election, contradicting prior internal findings and fueling a years-long political crisis.