Strategic Intelligence
Explore strategic intelligence insights and expert analysis on global events, geopolitical shifts, and emerging risks. Our concise summaries help security professionals, analysts, and decision makers understand complex developments and anticipate future trends.
American Activist Calla Walsh Publicly Chants “Death to America” in Iran, Highlights Rising Threat of Domestic Radicalization and Transnational Extremism
U.S. activist Calla Walsh’s public anti-American incitement in Iran, criminal history, and operational ties to a proscribed extremist network illustrate the dangerous convergence of foreign propaganda, militant activism, and domestic security threats.
Border Patrol Agent Shooting in NYC Highlights Escalating Risks Amid Sanctuary City Debate and Targeting of Federal Personnel
The NYC shooting of a Border Patrol agent by repeat-offender undocumented immigrants, combined with coordinated doxxing and a federal facility attack, signals a dangerous convergence of criminal and ideological threats facing federal law enforcement—accelerating the risk of further escalation and major policy backlash.
Iran Prepares for Renewed Conflict as Peace Talks with the U.S. and Israel Falter
Despite heavy Israeli and U.S. strikes, Iran is rearming proxies, hardening its internal security, and preparing for renewed conflict, as negotiations stall and covert warfare continues across the region.
Putin, the Prospect of Peace, and the Escalating Risk of Global Conflict
A surge in Russian hybrid and direct operations across Europe, met by robust allied countermeasures and shifting NATO posture, marks a period of heightened risk for miscalculation and wider conflict, as the prospect for peace recedes in summer 2025.
Fractured Alliance: Online Fallout Over Trump’s Epstein File Reversal Signals New Instability
Fringe online platforms show a sharp backlash against Trump over the Epstein files, marking a volatile shift in loyalty that could fuel disinformation and extremist rhetoric.
Mid-2025 Global Terrorism Threat: Soufan Center Highlights Expanding Technological and Geopolitical Risks
The Soufan Center’s mid-2025 assessment underscores a dangerously fluid global terrorism threat fueled by resurgent jihadist groups, ideological convergence, and the expanding tactical use of AI and emerging technologies.
What Is Strategic Intelligence?
Strategic intelligence is the analysis of information to support long-term understanding and decision-making. It focuses on identifying trends, patterns, and emerging developments that shape future risk environments rather than reacting to isolated events.
Unlike tactical or operational intelligence, strategic intelligence provides broader context, helping decision-makers assess how evolving conditions may influence security, policy, or organizational outcomes over time.
At Semper Incolumem, strategic intelligence is grounded in disciplined open-source analysis, with an emphasis on verification, relevance, and context. As the complexity of publicly available information grows, understanding the challenges facing modern OSINT helps clarify the limitations and demands of disciplined open-source analysis.
Strategic Intelligence vs. Intel Reports
Semper Incolumem publishes two distinct types of intelligence content, each serving a different purpose.
Strategic Intelligence consists of long-form analysis focused on trends and emerging patterns. These pieces examine broader movements over time and are intended to support long-term understanding. Strategic Intelligence summaries are publicly available on Semper Incolumem.
Intel Reports, available to subscribers, focus on specific or time-sensitive developments such as verified claims, arrests, or calls for action. These reports surface critical information quickly and accurately as events unfold.
Example:
Strategic Intelligence
ISIS Activity in the Sahel Increasing as Northwest African Countries Turn Away from Western Assistance
Intel Report
ISIS Claims Responsibility for Attack That Killed 50 in the Sahel
Subscribers receive access to Intel Reports alongside broader platform capabilities.
Why Strategic Intelligence Matters
Strategic intelligence:
Anticipates Change: Helps leaders identify shifts in markets, politics, or security environments before they unfold.
Supports Better Decisions: Connects complex external signals with organizational objectives to guide long-term strategy.
Mitigates Risk: Improves readiness for threats and uncertainties by highlighting emerging vulnerabilities and trends.
Whether applied in national defense, corporate strategy, or risk analysis, strategic intelligence turns information into foresight.
How We Deliver Strategic Intelligence
Our strategic intelligence summaries are produced through the Semper Incolumem intelligence platform, which:
Monitors global open-source data in near real time
Filters noise to surface events with strategic relevance
Provides concise, objective summaries designed for rapid consumption
Each summary is intended to give readers the context needed to assess potential impact without unnecessary speculation or commentary.
Stay Informed with Strategic Intelligence
Receive strategic intelligence summaries and subscriber-only Intel Reports directly from Semper Incolumem.

