Citing the risk of unforeseen escalation, US diplomatic missions in Jordan, Jerusalem, and Baghdad issued coordinated departure advisories for American citizens on August 1, the same week Iran expanded its drone campaign to Egyptian port infrastructure.

After a Houthi missile and drone attack ignited fires at the Saudi Aramco facility in Jazan, the kingdom shut down its 400,000-barrel-per-day refinery complex, with repairs not expected until mid-August.

A US or Israeli ground raid to physically retrieve Iran's 440.9 kg of 60 percent enriched uranium from the Isfahan tunnel complex is now an active policy option whose probability has risen with MOU collapse.

FBI arrested Iranian green card holder Shamim Mafi at LAX on April 19 for brokering $70.6M in Iranian Mohajer-6 drones, bombs, and ammunition to Sudan's military via an Oman front company, with alleged direct contact with Iran MOIS from 2022 to 2025. She faces up to 20 years in federal prison.

Iran opened a narrow Hormuz corridor for the ceasefire period while Trump claimed Iran agreed to indefinitely suspend uranium enrichment and hand over enriched material. The US blockade continues. Oil fell 10 percent. Iran has not confirmed nuclear terms publicly. The April 21 ceasefire expiry is the next decision point.

Congress returned April 14 with Democrats forcing war powers votes in both chambers; the May 1 WPR 60-day deadline creates the most significant domestic legislative test of the Iran war, with Republican defection margins remain